BLACK SWAN. (NASSIM N. TALEB)

What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common Why are all forecasters con-artists What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability And, why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', The Black Swan shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.